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Bookscan

  • Jun. 30th, 2009 at 2:28 PM
Christmas - Snow

Busy day, so this is gonna be quick.

Agent Andrew Zack blogged the other day about Bookscan, a service to track and report book sales: The Lie that is Bookscan.

My own agent, Joshua Bilmes, has posted his own thoughts, disagreeing with Zack’s assessment: A Bookscanner Darkly

Personally, I tend to agree with Joshua, and not just because he sells my books.  As far as I know, most writers, publishers, and agents know perfectly well that Bookscan represents a percentage of total sales, and that percentage could be anywhere from 70-80% for one author but under 50% for another. Bookscan seems to capture a lower fraction of mine, since I do better with independents.

I don’t think Bookscan ever claimed to report ALL sales. It’s more data than anything else I’ve seen, save from the publisher itself, but it’s definitely not 100% of my sales.

A publisher using Bookscan as the sole criterion for rejecting an author (as described in Zack’s post) is troubling, but I see that as a problem with the publisher, not with Bookscan.

(I do still track and graph my Bookscan numbers every week to fulfil my neurotic validation needs, of course. They don’t tell me actual sales, but they do help me see trends.)

Mirrored from Jim C. Hines.

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Comments

( 16 comments — Leave a comment )
[info]txtriffidranch wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 08:38 pm (UTC)
I have just one question, seeing as how the Bookscan site does such a terrible job of explaining where to go to check its numbers. Are you paying in for access to your Bookscan numbers, or are authors able to check those for free?
[info]jimhines wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:11 pm (UTC)
Bookscan access costs around $3000 - $5000 a year, I believe. I don't know the exact numbers.

It's theoretically possible to get some sort of group membership access deal, but I only know of one case where it's been done, and even then it's over $100 per year for the members.
[info]txtriffidranch wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:50 pm (UTC)
Corn-veeeeeen-ient. In other words, writers just have to bend over and assume that it's accurate, and that we're getting correct numbers from the publishers, too. Joy.
[info]hawklady wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:05 pm (UTC)
OK. I'm in lust. I want to bury myself in that data and play. Even flawed data can be incredibly useful if you know enough about the flaws to work around them. It's like debugging black-boxes upstream by looking at the holes in the flow. Of course, relying on it is another matter entirely.

Agreed that the problem is really publishers using Bookscan figures for anything more than a ballpark or like how Joshua does it. It does sound like the guy was grasping at Bookscan to avoid giving out whatever his real reason was -- even if it's just "I don't like it/don't want to work on it".

How common is it to be distributing the royalty statements?
[info]jimhines wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:12 pm (UTC)
What do you mean by distributing the royalty statements? It's been a long day, and I'm probably having a brain-dead moment. DAW sends royalty statements out every six months, if that's what you're referring to.
[info]hawklady wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:25 pm (UTC)
My poor choice of wording, sorry.

How common is it for an agent to send an author's royalty statement to a potential buyer as proof of sales?
[info]jimhines wrote:
Jul. 1st, 2009 01:36 am (UTC)
Ah - got it. Unfortunately, I don't really know the answer to that one. I can't imagine it's common, though. There's almost a cult of secrecy around sales numbers and royalties and print runs and such.
[info]katatomic wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:10 pm (UTC)
I also track my Bookscan numbers and compare them to actuals when I get my royalty reports. It's been very helpful in seeing how the books' sales move with respect to indies and non-reporting distributors like ProLogic (who stocks mass markets and magazines at most of my local grocery and drug stores now that Anderson is no more.) I think Zack was a bit overly hard on Bookscan, since no one has ever claimed the reports were anything other than a specific, and narrow, market slice. It's how you view the slice and use the info that's important.

Another thing I'm not seeing most people mention is how the percentage of Bookscan to actual total changes over time. I usually see a lower percentage for Bookscan in the first month after release (about 50%) slowly building to a higher percentage as the books age (about 70% in the slow season.) We usually use the 60% formula at my home to ballpark the totals but we're not always right. Until the recent release of the mass market editions, the number was edging to 75% on the first two titles, but it was only 40% of the third title since that one was off shelves in the major chains, but was selling steadily in the indies. But there are spikes for all the books whenever a new one comes out or a new edition. Over time, Bookscan has told me a lot, but in isolation or short bursts, it's almost useless, unless you have regional breakdowns for specific events.
[info]jimhines wrote:
Jul. 1st, 2009 01:40 am (UTC)
The shifting percentages over time is interesting -- I hadn't thought about that myself.

Bookscan definitely seems to give more useful data over the long term. I've been graphing the numbers, and it gives a very clear picture of new books doing better than the old, which is a good thing :-)
[info]jongibbs wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:11 pm (UTC)
Interesting link. Thanks for sharing :)
[info]margaret_y wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:38 pm (UTC)
You track your bookscan numbers every week? I'm kinda scratching my head at this. I don't deny that is fun data to know, but I'm not really sure how it would help me be a better writer. When the time comes, I think I will make a different choice for myself.
[info]jimhines wrote:
Jul. 1st, 2009 01:38 am (UTC)
I do. Part of it is my obsessiveness. I tend to scrounge every scrap of info I can get, and realistically, it probably doesn't do me that much good.

It does give me a comparison about how well the current book is doing compared to previous ones, though. So I know each book has done better than the prior, which is what we want. It also let me see that my own promo activites don't tend to have a visible impact on sales, but the release of a new book does move copies of the older ones.

That's my choice, though. One size definitely does not fit all ;-)
[info]laughingfalcon wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 09:55 pm (UTC)
I can't believe they are paying so much for a service that is so poorly designed or run! You would think they would demand greater accuracy since ALL that this service provides are tracking numbers. How can Bookscan have this be the sum total of their business and then suck at it? Mind-numbing.
[info]katatomic wrote:
Jul. 1st, 2009 02:45 am (UTC)
Bookscan is a division of A.C. Nielson--the folks who track TV-watching stats.
[info]burger_eater wrote:
Jun. 30th, 2009 11:18 pm (UTC)
A publisher using Bookscan as the sole criterion for rejecting an author (as described in Zack’s post) is troubling, but I see that as a problem with the publisher, not with Bookscan.

I see it as a convenient excuse not to pick up a book they don't want.
[info]barbarienne wrote:
Jul. 1st, 2009 03:21 pm (UTC)
Bookscan seems to capture a lower fraction of mine, since I do better with independents.

-->No, they do all right capturing the data from independents. They are missing the non-book-store sales, where your books (being mass market originals) are going.

Which is to say, you are likely in the prime Bookscan-screw group. How do Bookscan's numbers compare to the numbers on your royalty statements?
( 16 comments — Leave a comment )